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Regionalliga - SudWest Germany Sudwest - 16 2026

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs Kickers Offenbach

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Home · Elo 1,548
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kickers Offenbach Away · Elo 1,554
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kickers Offenbach win
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win
32.1%
Draw
27.1%
Kickers Offenbach winPick
40.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.7%
No37.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%

How much we know

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. history72 matches
Kickers Offenbach history65 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.8%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Kickers Offenbach are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,548 against 1,554. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. score more

    2.04 goals a game over 72 matches for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn., against 1.72 over 65 for Kickers Offenbach.

  • Defences are close

    Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. concede 1.47 a game, Kickers Offenbach 1.55.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    63% of Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. matches, against 58% for Kickers Offenbach. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Kickers Offenbach@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1547.7
ELO
1553.7
72
ELO · Matches
65
1547.7
Current Team ELO
1553.7
1553.7
Current Opponent ELO
1547.7
-6.08
Current ELO Difference
6.08
0.49
Expected score
0.51
72
History Matches
65
0.03
Residual Mean
0.05
52.22
Overperformance
53.70
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.80
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.60
2.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
2.15
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.18
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.76
Overall performance9 signals
90
72
Matches
65
1.46
PPG
1.55
40.3%
Win rate
43.1%
25.0%
Draw rate
26.2%
34.7%
Loss rate
30.8%
80.6%
Over 1.5 rate
84.6%
62.5%
Over 2.5 rate
58.5%
31.9%
Over 3.5 rate
43.1%
3.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
30
1.44
PPG
1.27
41.2%
Win rate
33.3%
20.6%
Draw rate
26.7%
38.2%
Loss rate
40.0%
79.4%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
58.8%
Over 2.5 rate
56.7%
23.5%
Over 3.5 rate
36.7%
1.59
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.90
34
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.04
Goals for per game
1.72
79.2%
Scoring rate
89.2%
63.9%
BTTS rate
66.2%
1.56
Goals for per game
1.60
76.5%
Scoring rate
83.3%
61.8%
BTTS rate
63.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
72
History Matches
65
2.04
Goals Mean
1.72
2.98
Goals Std
1.16
79.2%
Scored 1+ rate
89.2%
45.8%
Scored 2+ rate
47.7%
27.8%
Scored 3+ rate
27.7%
1.56
Venue Goals Mean
1.60
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.47
Goals against per game
1.55
80.6%
Conceding rate
75.4%
1.35
Goals against per game
1.67
79.4%
Conceding rate
80.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
72
History Matches
65
1.47
Conceded Mean
1.55
1.09
Conceded Std
1.54
45.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.9%
15.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.1%
1.35
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
10.8%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
10.8%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
72
History Matches
65
0.98
Result entropy
0.98
3.24
Goal Difference Std
2.02
1.68
Stability score
2.04
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
69
Eligible Matches
62
16
Lead Matches
29
68.8%
Lead Win Rate
58.6%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.69
22
Trailing Matches
15
31.8%
Non-loss rate
26.7%
13.6%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
69
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
0.67
First Half Goals For Mean
0.97
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
1.29
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.04
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.17
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
44
Normal Rest History Matches
45
1.25
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.56
21
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.56
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
3.00
33.3%
Win rate
100.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.67
5
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.23
Portability PPG Std
0.62
0.63
Portability PPG Range
1.74
68.68
Portability Score
44.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
72
Clean History Matches
65
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-6.08
PPG-0.10
GF0.32
GA-0.08
PPG-1.67
PPG0.17
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate10.1%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate0.6%
Failed-to-score rate6.9%
History Matches7
Goals Mean0.32
Goals Std1.82
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate0.1%
Venue Goals Mean-0.04
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std1.24
History Matches7
Conceded Mean-0.08
Conceded Std-0.45
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate8.9%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Conceded Mean-0.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.93
History Matches7
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std1.22
Stability score-0.36
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.28
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches-13
Lead Win Rate10.1%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate5.2%
Trailing Win Rate7.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.53
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.39
Portability PPG Range-1.10
Portability Score24.10
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches5
Short Rest Points Per Match2.17
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.31
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.06
Current Team ELO-6.08
Current Opponent ELO6.08
Current ELO Difference-12.17
Expected score-0.02
History Matches7
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.48
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.

L
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.0–2TSV Steinbach7 Nov · home
Pick: Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 43% · missed
W
Hessen Kassel0–1Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.31 Oct · away
Pick: Hessen Kassel 39% · missed
W
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–1FSV Mainz 05 II24 Oct · home
Pick: Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 47% · hit
L
SGV Freiberg3–0Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.17 Oct · away
Pick: SGV Freiberg 61% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Kickers Offenbach

W
Kickers Offenbach2–1Freiburg II7 Nov · home
Pick: Kickers Offenbach 51% · hit
W
Eintracht Frankfurt II2–4Kickers Offenbach1 Nov · away
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt II 39% · missed
D
Kickers Offenbach1–1SGV Freiberg23 Oct · home
Pick: SGV Freiberg 41% · missed
L
SV Sandhausen1–0Kickers Offenbach16 Oct · away
Pick: Kickers Offenbach 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. and Kickers Offenbach meet in Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win 32.1%, draw 27.1%, Kickers Offenbach win 40.8%. The pick is Kickers Offenbach win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.2%. Both teams to score: 62.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.