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4. liga - Divizie C Czechia Group C - 15 2026

Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Přepeře

Chlumec nad Cidlinou Home · Elo 1,475
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Přepeře Away · Elo 1,593
Mestsky Stadion Chlumec, Chlumec nad Cidlinou Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Přepeře win
Chlumec nad Cidlinou win
25.4%
Draw
21.7%
Přepeře winPick
52.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%

How much we know

Chlumec nad Cidlinou history52 matches
Přepeře history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.9%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Přepeře are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Přepeře are rated 118 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,593 against 1,475. On rating alone Přepeře would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Přepeře score far more

    1.35 goals a game over 52 matches for Chlumec nad Cidlinou, against 2.09 over 54 for Přepeře.

  • Defences are close

    Chlumec nad Cidlinou concede 1.62 a game, Přepeře 1.46.

  • Přepeře games more often go over 2.5 goals

    54% of Chlumec nad Cidlinou matches, against 69% for Přepeře. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
Přepeře@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1474.9
ELO
1592.9
52
ELO · Matches
54
1474.9
Current Team ELO
1592.9
1592.9
Current Opponent ELO
1474.9
-118.0
Current ELO Difference
118.0
0.34
Expected score
0.66
52
History Matches
54
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.08
48.01
Overperformance
56.14
-0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.17
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
2.40
1.00
Goals for per game
3.00
2.20
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
2.40
0.80
Goals for per game
2.70
2.10
Goals against per game
1.50
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.42
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.64
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.95
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.83
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
54
1.27
PPG
1.85
34.6%
Win rate
57.4%
23.1%
Draw rate
13.0%
42.3%
Loss rate
29.6%
80.8%
Over 1.5 rate
81.5%
53.8%
Over 2.5 rate
68.5%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
27
1.40
PPG
1.63
40.0%
Win rate
51.9%
20.0%
Draw rate
7.4%
40.0%
Loss rate
40.7%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
70.4%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
44.0%
Over 3.5 rate
37.0%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.40
25
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.35
Goals for per game
2.09
76.9%
Scoring rate
85.2%
57.7%
BTTS rate
53.7%
1.40
Goals for per game
1.59
80.0%
Scoring rate
77.8%
60.0%
BTTS rate
40.7%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.67
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
54
1.35
Goals Mean
2.09
1.11
Goals Std
1.43
76.9%
Scored 1+ rate
85.2%
36.5%
Scored 2+ rate
61.1%
15.4%
Scored 3+ rate
38.9%
1.40
Venue Goals Mean
1.59
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.62
Goals against per game
1.46
76.9%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.68
Goals against per game
1.41
76.0%
Conceding rate
59.3%
2.33
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
54
1.62
Conceded Mean
1.46
1.37
Conceded Std
1.50
44.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.7%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.1%
1.68
Venue Conceded Mean
1.41
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.7%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.7%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
54
0.97
Result entropy
0.86
1.91
Goal Difference Std
2.20
2.65
Stability score
14.09
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
52
Eligible Matches
52
15
Lead Matches
26
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
84.6%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.88
14
Trailing Matches
8
28.6%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
1.15
0.83
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.92
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.04
Rest days
84.03
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
29
Normal Rest History Matches
28
1.07
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.75
20
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.55
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.33
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
66.7%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.33
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.67
6
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.46
Portability PPG Std
0.12
1.13
Portability PPG Range
0.30
51.86
Portability Score
80.42
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-118.0
PPG-0.58
GF-0.75
GA0.15
PPG-1.67
PPG-0.23
PPG-1.60
PPG-1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate8.3%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.75
Goals Std-0.32
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.25
Scored 3+ rate-0.24
Venue Goals Mean-0.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.67
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.15
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Conceded 2+ rate3.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean0.27
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.28
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.11
Goal Difference Std-0.28
Stability score-11.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.12
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-11
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate16.1%
Trailing Win Rate-0.13
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.34
Portability PPG Range0.83
Portability Score-28.56
Rest days-0.99
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.68
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.45
Current Team ELO-118.0
Current Opponent ELO118.0
Current ELO Difference-236.0
Expected score-0.33
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.11
Overperformance-8.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.35

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

L
Trutnov1–0Chlumec nad Cidlinou7 Nov · away
Pick: Trutnov 55% · hit
D
Chlumec nad Cidlinou0–0Ústí nad Orlicí1 Nov · home
Pick: Ústí nad Orlicí 48% · missed
D
Vykan1–1Chlumec nad Cidlinou24 Oct · away
Pick: Vykan 49% · missed
W
Chlumec nad Cidlinou4–1Svitavy18 Oct · home
Pick: Chlumec nad Cidlinou 63% · hit
W
Chlumec nad Cidlinou2–0Hlinsko4 Oct · home
Pick: Hlinsko 42% · missed

Přepeře

D
Přepeře0–0Vysoké Mýto7 Nov · home
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 43% · missed
W
Přepeře3–1Kolín31 Oct · home
Pick: Přepeře 58% · hit
L
Trutnov3–0Přepeře24 Oct · away
Pick: Přepeře 42% · missed
W
Přepeře1–0Ústí nad Orlicí17 Oct · home
Pick: Ústí nad Orlicí 45% · missed
W
Chrudim II1–2Přepeře29 Aug · away
Pick: Přepeře 70% · hit

About this match

Chlumec nad Cidlinou and Přepeře meet in 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. The match is played at Mestsky Stadion Chlumec, Chlumec nad Cidlinou. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Chlumec nad Cidlinou win 25.4%, draw 21.7%, Přepeře win 52.9%. The pick is Přepeře win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.2%. Both teams to score: 60.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.