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4. liga - Divizie C Czechia Group C - 15 2026

Letohrad vs Dvůr Králové

Letohrad Home · Elo 1,466
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dvůr Králové Away · Elo 1,474
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dvůr Králové win
Letohrad win
32.1%
Draw
16.5%
Dvůr Králové winPick
51.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.576.6%
Under 2.523.4%

How much we know

Letohrad history4 matches
Dvůr Králové history5 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.4%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Dvůr Králové are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,466 against 1,474. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Dvůr Králové score more

    1.00 goals a game over 4 matches for Letohrad, against 1.40 over 5 for Dvůr Králové.

  • Dvůr Králové concede fewer

    Letohrad concede 4.50 a game, Dvůr Králové 3.40.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    100% of Letohrad matches, against 100% for Dvůr Králové. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Letohrad
Dvůr Králové@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1465.6
ELO
1474.3
4
ELO · Matches
5
1465.6
Current Team ELO
1474.3
1474.3
Current Opponent ELO
1465.6
-8.77
Current ELO Difference
8.77
0.49
Expected score
0.51
4
History Matches
5
-0.47
Residual Mean
-0.24
42.11
Overperformance
45.19
-0.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.24
Recent form16 signals
160
4
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
0.80
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
4.50
Goals against per game
3.40
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
4
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
0.80
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
4.50
Goals against per game
3.40
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.80
4.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.40
2.18
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.87
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.18
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
4
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
0.80
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.58
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
4.00
1
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
100.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
4
History Matches
5
1.00
Goals Mean
1.40
0.00
Goals Std
0.80
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
80.0%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
60.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
4.50
Goals against per game
3.40
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4.00
Goals against per game
6.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3.33
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4
History Matches
5
4.50
Conceded Mean
3.40
2.18
Conceded Std
2.87
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
80.0%
75.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.0%
4.00
Venue Conceded Mean
6.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
4
History Matches
5
0.00
Result entropy
0.86
2.18
Goal Difference Std
3.58
100.0
Stability score
13.50
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points Retention
4
Eligible Matches
4
0
Lead Matches
0
4
Trailing Matches
4
0.0%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
0.25
2.25
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.25
0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.50
2.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
83.92
Rest days
82.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
3
Normal Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
0
Long Rest History Matches
2
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
3
Matches
3
0.00
PPG
1.33
0.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
100.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
-2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
2
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
4
Clean History Matches
5
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-8.77
PPG-0.80
GF-0.40
GA1.10
PPG-1.33
PPG0.00
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.50
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.40
Goals Std-0.80
Scored 1+ rate20.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.60
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.80
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean1.10
Conceded Std-0.69
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate20.0%
Conceded 3+ rate35.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.69
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.86
Goal Difference Std-1.40
Stability score86.50
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.86
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.40
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.50
Trailing Win Rate-0.25
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean-1.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.50
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Long Rest History Matches-2
Current Team ELO-8.77
Current Opponent ELO8.77
Current ELO Difference-17.53
Expected score-0.03
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.23
Overperformance-3.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.23

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Letohrad

D
Hlinsko3–3Letohrad7 Nov · away
Pick: Hlinsko 85% · missed
W
Letohrad5–1Slavia Hradec Králové31 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Hradec Králové 57% · missed
W
Kolín1–2Letohrad25 Oct · away
Pick: Kolín 80% · missed
D
Chrudim II1–1Letohrad17 Oct · away
Pick: Chrudim II 54% · missed
L
Spartak Police n/Metují4–0Letohrad4 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Police n/Metují 80% · hit

Dvůr Králové

L
Turnov4–0Dvůr Králové1 Nov · away
Pick: Turnov 72% · hit
L
Dvůr Králové0–6Spartak Police n/Metují25 Oct · home
Pick: Dvůr Králové 43% · missed
W
Kosmonosy1–2Dvůr Králové17 Oct · away
Pick: Kosmonosy 75% · missed
W
Dvůr Králové1–0Svitavy30 Aug · home
Pick: Dvůr Králové 57% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Letohrad and Dvůr Králové meet in 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Letohrad win 32.1%, draw 16.5%, Dvůr Králové win 51.4%. The pick is Dvůr Králové win. Over 2.5 goals: 76.6%. Both teams to score: 60.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.