Vysoké Mýto vs Kolín
Match result probability Model pick: Vysoké Mýto win
Vysoké Mýto winPick
67.6%
Draw
18.6%
Kolín win
13.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes60.2%
No39.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.572.3%
Under 2.527.7%
How much we know
Vysoké Mýto history55 matches
Kolín history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Vysoké Mýto
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (67.6%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why Vysoké Mýto are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Vysoké Mýto are rated 203 Elo points higher
Elo 1,615 against 1,412. On rating alone Vysoké Mýto would be expected to take 76% of the points on offer.
-
Vysoké Mýto score far more
2.18 goals a game over 55 matches for Vysoké Mýto, against 1.24 over 63 for Kolín.
-
Vysoké Mýto concede fewer
Vysoké Mýto concede 1.07 a game, Kolín 1.89.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
60% of Vysoké Mýto matches, against 60% for Kolín. The model puts this match at 72% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kolín@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1615.1
ELO
1412.3
55
ELO · Matches
63
1615.1
Current Team ELO
1412.3
1412.3
Current Opponent ELO
1615.1
202.8
Current ELO Difference
-202.8
0.76
Expected score
0.24
55
History Matches
63
0.10
Residual Mean
-0.06
57.55
Overperformance
45.10
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.20
3.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
0.70
3.40
Goals for per game
1.00
1.40
Goals against per game
2.10
70.0%
Win rate
10.0%
3.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.74
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.18
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.14
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.87
Overall performance9 signals 90
55
Matches
63
2.00
PPG
0.95
60.0%
Win rate
19.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
38.1%
20.0%
Loss rate
42.9%
85.5%
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.3%
34.5%
Over 3.5 rate
41.3%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
Venue performance10 signals 100
28
Matches
30
2.04
PPG
0.70
64.3%
Win rate
10.0%
10.7%
Draw rate
40.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
82.1%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
17.9%
Over 3.5 rate
43.3%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
28
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.18
Goals for per game
1.24
85.5%
Scoring rate
74.6%
56.4%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.96
Goals for per game
1.10
85.7%
Scoring rate
73.3%
42.9%
BTTS rate
70.0%
2.67
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
55
History Matches
63
2.18
Goals Mean
1.24
1.61
Goals Std
1.06
85.5%
Scored 1+ rate
74.6%
69.1%
Scored 2+ rate
34.9%
32.7%
Scored 3+ rate
7.9%
1.96
Venue Goals Mean
1.10
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.07
Goals against per game
1.89
67.3%
Conceding rate
88.9%
0.93
Goals against per game
2.07
57.1%
Conceding rate
93.3%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
55
History Matches
63
1.07
Conceded Mean
1.89
1.06
Conceded Std
1.32
23.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.0%
12.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.0%
0.93
Venue Conceded Mean
2.07
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
14.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.4%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
14.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.4%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
55
History Matches
63
0.86
Result entropy
0.95
1.97
Goal Difference Std
1.89
13.50
Stability score
4.73
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
54
Eligible Matches
63
31
Lead Matches
22
80.6%
Lead Win Rate
45.5%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.61
9
Trailing Matches
26
33.3%
Non-loss rate
15.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
3.8%
Goal timing5 signals 50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
1.20
First Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.46
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
0.94
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.51
0.63
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.92
Rest days
82.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
5
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.40
29
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.97
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.09
24
Long Rest History Matches
22
2.04
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.86
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
1.00
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
100.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
6
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.15
Portability PPG Std
0.21
0.37
Portability PPG Range
0.56
76.73
Portability Score
70.52
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
55
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO202.8
PPG1.05
GF0.94
GA-0.82
PPG1.33
PPG1.34
PPG0.80
PPG1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate21.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate36.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-8
Goals Mean0.94
Goals Std0.54
Scored 1+ rate10.9%
Scored 2+ rate34.2%
Scored 3+ rate24.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.86
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.56
History Matches-8
Conceded Mean-0.82
Conceded Std-0.26
Clean-sheet rate21.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.30
Conceded 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Conceded Mean-1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.14
History Matches-8
Result entropy-0.09
Goal Difference Std0.08
Stability score8.77
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.54
Eligible Matches-9
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate35.2%
Lead Points Retention0.24
Trailing Matches-17
Non-loss rate17.9%
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches-9
First Half Goals For Mean0.47
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.44
Second Half Goals For Mean0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.35
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.06
Portability PPG Range-0.19
Portability Score6.22
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match2.60
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.88
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match1.18
Current Team ELO202.8
Current Opponent ELO-202.8
Current ELO Difference405.6
Expected score0.53
History Matches-8
Residual Mean0.17
Overperformance12.45
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.14
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Vysoké Mýto
D
Přepeře0–0Vysoké Mýto7 Nov · away
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 43% · missed W
Vysoké Mýto3–0Trutnov31 Oct · home
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 66% · hit D
Ústí nad Orlicí0–0Vysoké Mýto24 Oct · away
Pick: Ústí nad Orlicí 55% · missed W
Vysoké Mýto1–0Vykan17 Oct · home
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 48% · hit W
Turnov0–2Vysoké Mýto30 Aug · away
Pick: Vysoké Mýto 48% · hit Kolín
L
Přepeře3–1Kolín31 Oct · away
Pick: Přepeře 58% · hit L
Kolín1–2Letohrad25 Oct · home
Pick: Kolín 80% · missed L
Trutnov1–0Kolín17 Oct · away
Pick: Trutnov 43% · hit L
Ústí nad Orlicí2–1Kolín4 Oct · away
Pick: Ústí nad Orlicí 59% · hit L
Kolín0–4Kosmonosy30 Aug · home
Pick: Kosmonosy 43% · hit About this match
Vysoké Mýto and Kolín meet in 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Vysoké Mýto win 67.6%, draw 18.6%, Kolín win 13.8%. The pick is Vysoké Mýto win. Over 2.5 goals: 72.3%. Both teams to score: 60.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.