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4. liga - Divizie C Czechia Group C - 15 2026

Slavia Hradec Králové vs Hlinsko

Slavia Hradec Králové Home · Elo 1,408
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hlinsko Away · Elo 1,470
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hlinsko win
Slavia Hradec Králové win
16.7%
Draw
16.8%
Hlinsko winPick
66.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.571.5%
Under 2.528.5%

How much we know

Slavia Hradec Králové history19 matches
Hlinsko history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 09:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (66.5%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.

Why Hlinsko are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hlinsko are rated 61 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,470 against 1,408. On rating alone Hlinsko would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Hlinsko score far more

    1.05 goals a game over 19 matches for Slavia Hradec Králové, against 1.79 over 53 for Hlinsko.

  • Defences are close

    Slavia Hradec Králové concede 2.37 a game, Hlinsko 2.15.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    74% of Slavia Hradec Králové matches, against 75% for Hlinsko. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slavia Hradec Králové
Hlinsko@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1408.5
ELO
1469.8
19
ELO · Matches
53
1408.5
Current Team ELO
1469.8
1469.8
Current Opponent ELO
1408.5
-61.30
Current ELO Difference
61.30
0.41
Expected score
0.59
19
History Matches
53
-0.23
Residual Mean
-0.03
38.60
Overperformance
48.09
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.40
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
1.10
1.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.90
Goals against per game
2.70
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.33
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.80
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.70
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.10
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.90
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.52
Overall performance9 signals
90
19
Matches
53
0.47
PPG
1.30
10.5%
Win rate
39.6%
15.8%
Draw rate
11.3%
73.7%
Loss rate
49.1%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
88.7%
73.7%
Over 2.5 rate
75.5%
47.4%
Over 3.5 rate
56.6%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.60
Venue performance10 signals
100
10
Matches
26
0.70
PPG
0.69
20.0%
Win rate
19.2%
10.0%
Draw rate
11.5%
70.0%
Loss rate
69.2%
70.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.8%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
65.4%
1.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.37
10
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.05
Goals for per game
1.79
63.2%
Scoring rate
75.5%
63.2%
BTTS rate
58.5%
1.10
Goals for per game
1.46
60.0%
Scoring rate
65.4%
60.0%
BTTS rate
57.7%
2.00
Goals for per game
3.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
19
History Matches
53
1.05
Goals Mean
1.79
1.10
Goals Std
1.59
63.2%
Scored 1+ rate
75.5%
26.3%
Scored 2+ rate
49.1%
10.5%
Scored 3+ rate
34.0%
1.10
Venue Goals Mean
1.46
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.37
Goals against per game
2.15
94.7%
Conceding rate
83.0%
1.60
Goals against per game
2.69
90.0%
Conceding rate
92.3%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
19
History Matches
53
2.37
Conceded Mean
2.15
1.46
Conceded Std
1.59
78.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
62.3%
26.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
37.7%
1.60
Venue Conceded Mean
2.69
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
5.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.0%
36.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
10.0%
Clean-sheet rate
7.7%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
5.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.0%
36.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
10.0%
Clean-sheet rate
7.7%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
5.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
19
History Matches
53
0.69
Result entropy
0.88
1.95
Goal Difference Std
2.60
31.42
Stability score
12.36
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
19
Eligible Matches
53
2
Lead Matches
16
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.50
Lead Points Retention
0.90
11
Trailing Matches
22
18.2%
Non-loss rate
13.6%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
19
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.42
First Half Goals For Mean
0.79
1.21
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.19
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
91.03
Rest days
82.75
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
7
Normal Rest History Matches
27
0.57
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
10
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
3
1.50
PPG
2.33
50.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.62
2
Current Competition Matches
3
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.33
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.33
4
Competition Season Count
5
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.56
—
Portability PPG Range
1.20
—
Portability Score
47.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
19
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO-61.30
PPG-0.83
GF-0.74
GA0.22
PPG-0.83
PPG0.01
PPG0.00
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-34
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate12.3%
History Matches-16
Clean-sheet rate2.3%
Failed-to-score rate5.4%
History Matches-34
Goals Mean-0.74
Goals Std-0.50
Scored 1+ rate-0.12
Scored 2+ rate-0.23
Scored 3+ rate-0.23
Venue Goals Mean-0.36
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.47
History Matches-34
Conceded Mean0.22
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean-1.09
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.80
History Matches-34
Result entropy-0.19
Goal Difference Std-0.65
Stability score19.06
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.62
Eligible Matches-34
Lead Matches-14
Lead Win Rate-0.38
Lead Points Retention-0.40
Trailing Matches-11
Non-loss rate4.5%
Trailing Win Rate-0.05
Halftime Coverage Matches-34
First Half Goals For Mean-0.37
First Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.83
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days8.28
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Normal Rest History Matches-20
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.10
Long Rest History Matches-11
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Current Team ELO-61.30
Current Opponent ELO61.30
Current ELO Difference-122.6
Expected score-0.17
History Matches-34
Residual Mean-0.21
Overperformance-9.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slavia Hradec Králové

L
Letohrad5–1Slavia Hradec Králové31 Oct · away
Pick: Slavia Hradec Králové 57% · missed
W
Slavia Hradec Králové4–0Chrudim II24 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Hradec Králové 55% · hit
L
Turnov3–0Slavia Hradec Králové18 Oct · away
Pick: Turnov 59% · hit
W
Slavia Hradec Králové3–1Ústí nad Orlicí29 Aug · home
Pick: Ústí nad Orlicí 62% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hlinsko

D
Hlinsko3–3Letohrad7 Nov · home
Pick: Hlinsko 85% · missed
D
Chrudim II1–1Hlinsko31 Oct · away
Pick: Hlinsko 57% · missed
L
Hlinsko1–3Turnov24 Oct · home
Pick: Hlinsko 49% · missed
L
Spartak Police n/Metují3–2Hlinsko18 Oct · away
Pick: Hlinsko 42% · missed
L
Chlumec nad Cidlinou2–0Hlinsko4 Oct · away
Pick: Hlinsko 42% · missed

About this match

Slavia Hradec Králové and Hlinsko meet in 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 09:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Slavia Hradec Králové win 16.7%, draw 16.8%, Hlinsko win 66.5%. The pick is Hlinsko win. Over 2.5 goals: 71.5%. Both teams to score: 59.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.