Menemen FK vs Isparta 32 Spor
Match result probability Model pick: Menemen FK win
Menemen FK winPick
38.6%
Draw
23.2%
Isparta 32 Spor win
38.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes60.4%
No39.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
How much we know
Menemen FK history49 matches
Isparta 32 Spor history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Menemen FK
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.6%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Menemen FK are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Isparta 32 Spor are rated 35 Elo points higher
Elo 1,549 against 1,514. On rating alone Isparta 32 Spor would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.63 goals a game over 49 matches for Menemen FK, against 1.69 over 49 for Isparta 32 Spor.
-
Defences are close
Menemen FK concede 1.57 a game, Isparta 32 Spor 1.49.
-
Menemen FK games more often go over 2.5 goals
69% of Menemen FK matches, against 59% for Isparta 32 Spor. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 25 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Isparta 32 Spor@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1514.0
ELO
1549.0
49
ELO · Matches
49
1514.0
Current Team ELO
1549.0
1549.0
Current Opponent ELO
1514.0
-34.98
Current ELO Difference
34.98
0.45
Expected score
0.55
49
History Matches
49
0.02
Residual Mean
0.05
51.09
Overperformance
53.20
-0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.40
1.60
Goals for per game
2.60
3.00
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.90
2.50
Goals against per game
1.20
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.37
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.36
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.60
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.85
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals 90
49
Matches
49
1.49
PPG
1.41
42.9%
Win rate
38.8%
20.4%
Draw rate
24.5%
36.7%
Loss rate
36.7%
83.7%
Over 1.5 rate
83.7%
69.4%
Over 2.5 rate
59.2%
38.8%
Over 3.5 rate
40.8%
1.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
26
1.88
PPG
1.15
56.0%
Win rate
30.8%
20.0%
Draw rate
23.1%
24.0%
Loss rate
46.2%
92.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
76.0%
Over 2.5 rate
65.4%
36.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.59
25
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.63
Goals for per game
1.69
75.5%
Scoring rate
79.6%
61.2%
BTTS rate
57.1%
1.88
Goals for per game
1.58
88.0%
Scoring rate
76.9%
72.0%
BTTS rate
65.4%
49
History Matches
49
1.63
Goals Mean
1.69
1.41
Goals Std
1.67
75.5%
Scored 1+ rate
79.6%
49.0%
Scored 2+ rate
36.7%
20.4%
Scored 3+ rate
22.4%
1.88
Venue Goals Mean
1.58
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.57
Goals against per game
1.49
79.6%
Conceding rate
73.5%
1.36
Goals against per game
1.96
80.0%
Conceding rate
88.5%
49
History Matches
49
1.57
Conceded Mean
1.49
1.23
Conceded Std
1.40
44.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.8%
24.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.4%
1.36
Venue Conceded Mean
1.96
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.5%
24.5%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
12.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.5%
24.5%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
12.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
49
History Matches
49
0.96
Result entropy
0.98
1.96
Goal Difference Std
2.50
3.94
Stability score
1.71
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
49
Eligible Matches
49
16
Lead Matches
12
81.3%
Lead Win Rate
91.7%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.94
18
Trailing Matches
15
16.7%
Non-loss rate
6.7%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
0.90
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.90
0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
203.0
Rest days
203.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
34
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.59
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
13
Long Rest History Matches
15
1.38
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.73
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.17
Portability PPG Std
0.61
0.33
Portability PPG Range
1.40
75.04
Portability Score
45.11
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
49
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-34.98
PPG0.08
GF-0.06
GA0.08
PPG0.73
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate4.1%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate8.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.06
Goals Std-0.26
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate12.2%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.03
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.08
Conceded Std-0.17
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Conceded 2+ rate6.1%
Conceded 3+ rate2.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.76
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.54
Stability score2.22
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.23
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate-0.10
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate10.0%
Trailing Win Rate11.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.44
Portability PPG Range-1.07
Portability Score29.92
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.30
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.35
Current Team ELO-34.98
Current Opponent ELO34.98
Current ELO Difference-69.95
Expected score-0.10
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.34
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Menemen FK
W
Menemen FK3–0Hatayspor1 Nov · home
Pick: Menemen FK 47% · hit D
Çorluspor 19471–1Menemen FK24 Oct · away
Pick: Çorluspor 1947 63% · missed L
Menemen FK0–1Güzide Gebzespor17 Oct · home
Pick: Güzide Gebzespor 42% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Isparta 32 Spor
L
Şanlıurfaspor4–0Isparta 32 Spor1 Nov · away
Pick: Şanlıurfaspor 53% · hit W
Düzcespor0–2Isparta 32 Spor28 Oct · away
Pick: Isparta 32 Spor 39% · hit L
Isparta 32 Spor3–4Elazığspor24 Oct · home
Pick: Elazığspor 45% · hit D
Kastamonuspor2–2Isparta 32 Spor18 Oct · away
Pick: Kastamonuspor 45% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Menemen FK and Isparta 32 Spor meet in 2. Lig on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Menemen FK win 38.6%, draw 23.2%, Isparta 32 Spor win 38.2%. The pick is Menemen FK win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.1%. Both teams to score: 60.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.