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Prva Liga Serbia Round 18 2026

OFK Vršac vs Javor

OFK Vršac Home · Elo 1,526
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Javor Away · Elo 1,481
Gradski stadion Vrsac Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Javor win
OFK Vršac win
32.2%
Draw
29.2%
Javor winPick
38.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.3%
No51.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.547.7%
Under 2.552.3%

How much we know

OFK Vršac history63 matches
Javor history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.6%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.

Why Javor are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • OFK Vršac are rated 45 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,526 against 1,481. On rating alone OFK Vršac would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Javor score more

    0.87 goals a game over 63 matches for OFK Vršac, against 1.27 over 66 for Javor.

  • OFK Vršac concede fewer

    OFK Vršac concede 1.10 a game, Javor 1.33.

  • Javor games more often go over 2.5 goals

    37% of OFK Vršac matches, against 52% for Javor. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
OFK Vršac
Javor@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1525.9
ELO
1481.4
63
ELO · Matches
66
1525.9
Current Team ELO
1481.4
1481.4
Current Opponent ELO
1525.9
44.54
Current ELO Difference
-44.54
0.56
Expected score
0.44
63
History Matches
66
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.01
51.14
Overperformance
49.32
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
2.40
0.80
Goals against per game
1.20
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.10
1.30
Goals for per game
1.80
1.30
Goals against per game
1.90
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.33
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.49
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.76
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.79
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.34
Overall performance9 signals
90
63
Matches
66
1.21
PPG
1.32
28.6%
Win rate
33.3%
34.9%
Draw rate
31.8%
36.5%
Loss rate
34.8%
50.8%
Over 1.5 rate
72.7%
36.5%
Over 2.5 rate
51.5%
20.6%
Over 3.5 rate
27.3%
1.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.65
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
31
1.21
PPG
0.87
27.6%
Win rate
16.1%
37.9%
Draw rate
38.7%
34.5%
Loss rate
45.2%
48.3%
Over 1.5 rate
80.6%
34.5%
Over 2.5 rate
51.6%
13.8%
Over 3.5 rate
32.3%
1.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
29
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.87
Goals for per game
1.27
54.0%
Scoring rate
71.2%
38.1%
BTTS rate
54.5%
0.90
Goals for per game
1.03
55.2%
Scoring rate
64.5%
41.4%
BTTS rate
64.5%
1.60
Goals for per game
2.40
80.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
63
History Matches
66
0.87
Goals Mean
1.27
0.98
Goals Std
1.09
54.0%
Scored 1+ rate
71.2%
25.4%
Scored 2+ rate
40.9%
6.3%
Scored 3+ rate
10.6%
0.90
Venue Goals Mean
1.03
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.10
Goals against per game
1.33
63.5%
Conceding rate
74.2%
0.86
Goals against per game
1.71
58.6%
Conceding rate
96.8%
0.80
Goals against per game
1.20
80.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
63
History Matches
66
1.10
Conceded Mean
1.33
1.15
Conceded Std
1.21
28.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.9%
11.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.6%
0.86
Venue Conceded Mean
1.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
36.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
46.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
41.4%
Clean-sheet rate
3.2%
44.8%
Failed-to-score rate
35.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
36.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
46.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
41.4%
Clean-sheet rate
3.2%
44.8%
Failed-to-score rate
35.5%
36.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
63
History Matches
66
1.00
Result entropy
1.00
1.39
Goal Difference Std
1.65
0.49
Stability score
0.06
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
61
Eligible Matches
66
12
Lead Matches
21
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
61.9%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.70
18
Trailing Matches
16
22.2%
Non-loss rate
31.3%
5.6%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
66
0.41
First Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
0.48
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
82.96
Rest days
81.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
42
Normal Rest History Matches
39
1.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.10
19
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.11
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.60
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
0.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.40
Current Competition PPG
1.60
0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.20
5
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.63
Portability PPG Std
0.30
1.64
Portability PPG Range
0.71
44.41
Portability Score
62.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
63
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO44.54
PPG-0.11
GF-0.40
GA-0.24
PPG0.80
PPG0.34
PPG0.80
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate10.8%
Failed-to-score rate17.2%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate38.2%
Failed-to-score rate9.3%
History Matches-3
Goals Mean-0.40
Goals Std-0.11
Scored 1+ rate-0.17
Scored 2+ rate-0.16
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean-0.14
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.32
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean-0.24
Conceded Std-0.06
Clean-sheet rate10.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.09
Conceded 3+ rate0.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.85
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.27
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.27
Stability score0.43
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.55
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate4.8%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.09
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.40
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.33
Portability PPG Range0.93
Portability Score-18.18
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.21
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.56
Current Team ELO44.54
Current Opponent ELO-44.54
Current ELO Difference89.08
Expected score0.13
History Matches-3
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.82
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

OFK Vršac

D
Naftagas1–1OFK Vršac7 Nov · away
Pick: OFK Vršac 38% · missed
W
OFK Vršac2–1TSC Backa Topola1 Nov · home
Pick: OFK Vršac 40% · hit
L
OFK Vršac0–1OFK Beograd28 Oct · home
Pick: OFK Beograd 39% · hit
D
Loznica1–1OFK Vršac24 Oct · away
Pick: Loznica 36% · missed
W
OFK Vršac1–0Teleoptik16 Oct · home
Pick: OFK Vršac 51% · hit

Javor

W
Teleoptik2–3Javor2 Nov · away
Pick: Javor 46% · hit
W
Jedinstvo Kruševac1–3Javor28 Oct · away
Pick: Javor 50% · hit
W
Metalac GM1–2Javor24 Oct · away
Pick: Javor 45% · hit
W
Javor3–1Borac Cacak4 Oct · home
Pick: Javor 42% · hit
W
Javor3–0Napredak30 Aug · home
Pick: Javor 50% · hit

About this match

OFK Vršac and Javor meet in Prva Liga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. The match is played at Gradski stadion Vrsac. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: OFK Vršac win 32.2%, draw 29.2%, Javor win 38.6%. The pick is Javor win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.7%. Both teams to score: 48.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.