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Prva Liga Serbia Round 18 2026

Teleoptik vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Teleoptik Home · Elo 1,611
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Away · Elo 1,391
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV win
Teleoptik win
34.3%
Draw
16.8%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV winPick
48.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.4%
No42.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.3%
Under 2.529.7%

How much we know

Teleoptik history39 matches
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.8%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Teleoptik are rated 219 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,611 against 1,391. On rating alone Teleoptik would be expected to take 78% of the points on offer.

  • Teleoptik score far more

    2.31 goals a game over 39 matches for Teleoptik, against 1.20 over 66 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV.

  • Teleoptik concede fewer

    Teleoptik concede 1.08 a game, FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1.74.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    62% of Teleoptik matches, against 58% for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Teleoptik
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1611.0
ELO
1391.5
39
ELO · Matches
66
1611.0
Current Team ELO
1391.5
1391.5
Current Opponent ELO
1611.0
219.5
Current ELO Difference
-219.5
0.78
Expected score
0.22
39
History Matches
66
0.14
Residual Mean
-0.08
59.25
Overperformance
43.65
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.60
1.40
Goals for per game
2.60
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
0.80
1.90
Goals for per game
1.50
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.37
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
39
Matches
66
2.21
PPG
0.91
66.7%
Win rate
21.2%
20.5%
Draw rate
27.3%
12.8%
Loss rate
51.5%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
80.3%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
57.6%
48.7%
Over 3.5 rate
34.8%
2.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
34
2.25
PPG
0.85
70.0%
Win rate
20.6%
15.0%
Draw rate
23.5%
15.0%
Loss rate
55.9%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.4%
55.0%
Over 2.5 rate
52.9%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
29.4%
2.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.54
20
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.31
Goals for per game
1.20
89.7%
Scoring rate
69.7%
51.3%
BTTS rate
60.6%
2.40
Goals for per game
1.12
85.0%
Scoring rate
61.8%
40.0%
BTTS rate
55.9%
1.40
Goals for per game
2.60
80.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
80.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
39
History Matches
66
2.31
Goals Mean
1.20
1.64
Goals Std
1.05
89.7%
Scored 1+ rate
69.7%
61.5%
Scored 2+ rate
36.4%
46.2%
Scored 3+ rate
10.6%
2.40
Venue Goals Mean
1.12
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.08
Goals against per game
1.74
56.4%
Conceding rate
84.8%
0.75
Goals against per game
1.65
50.0%
Conceding rate
88.2%
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
39
History Matches
66
1.08
Conceded Mean
1.74
1.25
Conceded Std
1.18
30.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
56.1%
12.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.7%
0.75
Venue Conceded Mean
1.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
43.6%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
30.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
15.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
43.6%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
30.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
15.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.2%
43.6%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
39
History Matches
66
0.78
Result entropy
0.93
2.09
Goal Difference Std
1.51
21.85
Stability score
6.70
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
35
Eligible Matches
65
16
Lead Matches
15
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
53.3%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.64
4
Trailing Matches
25
25.0%
Non-loss rate
8.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
65
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
1.51
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
82.08
Rest days
81.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
40
2.26
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.68
19
Long Rest History Matches
23
2.11
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
80.0%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.74
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.60
-0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.60
4
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.68
Portability PPG Std
0.39
1.64
Portability PPG Range
1.03
42.36
Portability Score
56.27
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
39
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO219.5
PPG1.30
GF1.11
GA-0.67
PPG-0.60
PPG1.40
PPG-0.60
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-27
Clean-sheet rate28.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate38.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches-27
Goals Mean1.11
Goals Std0.59
Scored 1+ rate20.0%
Scored 2+ rate25.2%
Scored 3+ rate35.5%
Venue Goals Mean1.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.09
History Matches-27
Conceded Mean-0.67
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate28.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.08
History Matches-27
Result entropy-0.15
Goal Difference Std0.58
Stability score15.14
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.08
Eligible Matches-30
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate34.2%
Lead Points Retention0.27
Trailing Matches-21
Non-loss rate17.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches-30
First Half Goals For Mean0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.41
Second Half Goals For Mean0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.40
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.29
Portability PPG Range0.60
Portability Score-13.91
Rest days0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-21
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.59
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.89
Current Team ELO219.5
Current Opponent ELO-219.5
Current ELO Difference439.0
Expected score0.56
History Matches-27
Residual Mean0.22
Overperformance15.60
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Teleoptik

L
Teleoptik2–3Javor2 Nov · home
Pick: Javor 46% · hit
L
Teleoptik1–2TSC Backa Topola23 Oct · home
Pick: TSC Backa Topola 48% · hit
L
OFK Vršac1–0Teleoptik16 Oct · away
Pick: OFK Vršac 51% · hit
L
Teleoptik1–2FK Vozdovac1 Sep · home
Pick: FK Vozdovac 40% · hit
D
Semendrija 19241–1Teleoptik24 Aug · away
Pick: Semendrija 1924 59% · missed

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

W
OFK Bor 19190–1FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV2 Nov · away
Pick: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 63% · hit
W
Grafičar0–2FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV24 Oct · away
Pick: Grafičar 46% · missed
D
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV3–3Borac Cacak19 Oct · home
Pick: Borac Cacak 43% · missed
L
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0–6Naftagas4 Oct · home
Pick: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 44% · missed
D
Jedinstvo Ub1–1FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV29 Aug · away
Pick: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 47% · missed

About this match

Teleoptik and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV meet in Prva Liga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Teleoptik win 34.3%, draw 16.8%, FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV win 48.8%. The pick is FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.3%. Both teams to score: 57.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.