Uherský Brod vs Líšeň II
Match result probability Model pick: Líšeň II win
Uherský Brod win
33.5%
Draw
29.0%
Líšeň II winPick
37.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes54.5%
No45.5%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%
How much we know
Uherský Brod history58 matches
Líšeň II history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Líšeň II
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.5%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Líšeň II are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Líšeň II are rated 33 Elo points higher
Elo 1,655 against 1,621. On rating alone Líšeň II would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
-
Líšeň II score more
1.76 goals a game over 58 matches for Uherský Brod, against 2.41 over 51 for Líšeň II.
-
Líšeň II concede fewer
Uherský Brod concede 1.07 a game, Líšeň II 0.88.
-
Líšeň II games more often go over 2.5 goals
43% of Uherský Brod matches, against 59% for Líšeň II. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Líšeň II@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1621.1
ELO
1654.6
58
ELO · Matches
51
1621.1
Current Team ELO
1654.6
1654.6
Current Opponent ELO
1621.1
-33.47
Current ELO Difference
33.47
0.45
Expected score
0.55
58
History Matches
51
0.10
Residual Mean
0.15
57.16
Overperformance
60.83
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.21
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
2.60
1.80
Goals for per game
2.20
1.40
Goals against per game
0.20
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
2.60
2.00
Goals for per game
2.80
1.40
Goals against per game
0.40
50.0%
Win rate
80.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.80
1.48
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.09
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.40
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.49
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.80
Overall performance9 signals 90
58
Matches
51
1.91
PPG
2.10
55.2%
Win rate
62.7%
25.9%
Draw rate
21.6%
19.0%
Loss rate
15.7%
77.6%
Over 1.5 rate
78.4%
43.1%
Over 2.5 rate
58.8%
27.6%
Over 3.5 rate
45.1%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.23
Venue performance10 signals 100
27
Matches
25
2.26
PPG
2.04
66.7%
Win rate
60.0%
25.9%
Draw rate
24.0%
7.4%
Loss rate
16.0%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
68.0%
48.1%
Over 2.5 rate
56.0%
29.6%
Over 3.5 rate
44.0%
1.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.15
27
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.76
Goals for per game
2.41
86.2%
Scoring rate
80.4%
51.7%
BTTS rate
51.0%
2.07
Goals for per game
2.20
92.6%
Scoring rate
72.0%
51.9%
BTTS rate
48.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.25
75.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
58
History Matches
51
1.76
Goals Mean
2.41
1.18
Goals Std
1.94
86.2%
Scored 1+ rate
80.4%
56.9%
Scored 2+ rate
58.8%
19.0%
Scored 3+ rate
41.2%
2.07
Venue Goals Mean
2.20
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.07
Goals against per game
0.88
60.3%
Conceding rate
60.8%
0.93
Goals against per game
0.92
55.6%
Conceding rate
60.0%
1.25
Goals against per game
0.00
75.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
58
History Matches
51
1.07
Conceded Mean
0.88
1.20
Conceded Std
1.00
27.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
15.7%
10.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.9%
0.93
Venue Conceded Mean
0.92
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
39.7%
Clean-sheet rate
39.2%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
19.6%
44.4%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
7.4%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
39.7%
Clean-sheet rate
39.2%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
19.6%
44.4%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
7.4%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
39.7%
Clean-sheet rate
39.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
58
History Matches
51
0.90
Result entropy
0.83
1.48
Goal Difference Std
2.23
9.60
Stability score
16.82
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
56
Eligible Matches
51
22
Lead Matches
27
90.9%
Lead Win Rate
96.3%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.98
10
Trailing Matches
9
50.0%
Non-loss rate
44.4%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
0.79
First Half Goals For Mean
1.27
0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.14
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.20
Rest days
82.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
26
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.88
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.00
28
Long Rest History Matches
26
2.11
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.15
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
1.50
PPG
2.50
50.0%
Win rate
75.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
25.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.09
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.50
0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.25
6
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.49
Portability PPG Std
0.37
1.21
Portability PPG Range
0.97
50.36
Portability Score
57.40
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
58
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-33.47
PPG-0.18
GF-0.65
GA0.19
PPG-1.00
PPG0.22
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate0.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate4.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches7
Goals Mean-0.65
Goals Std-0.76
Scored 1+ rate5.8%
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate-0.22
Venue Goals Mean-0.13
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.60
History Matches7
Conceded Mean0.19
Conceded Std0.20
Clean-sheet rate0.4%
Conceded 2+ rate11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate4.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.62
History Matches7
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.76
Stability score-7.22
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.30
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate5.6%
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.49
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.12
Portability PPG Range0.24
Portability Score-7.04
Rest days0.30
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.12
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Current Team ELO-33.47
Current Opponent ELO33.47
Current ELO Difference-66.93
Expected score-0.10
History Matches7
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.67
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.24
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Uherský Brod
L
Blansko2–1Uherský Brod7 Nov · away
Pick: Uherský Brod 55% · missed L
Uherský Brod1–2Slovácko II31 Oct · home
Pick: Uherský Brod 42% · missed W
Hodonín1–2Uherský Brod24 Oct · away
Pick: Uherský Brod 41% · hit W
Uherský Brod4–0Vrchovina17 Oct · home
Pick: Uherský Brod 52% · hit W
Uherský Brod2–1Vsetín29 Aug · home
Pick: Uherský Brod 71% · hit Líšeň II
D
Líšeň II4–4Uničov6 Nov · home
Pick: Líšeň II 50% · missed L
Frýdek-Místek3–0Líšeň II31 Oct · away
Pick: Frýdek-Místek 39% · hit L
Líšeň II1–2Unie Hlubina25 Oct · home
Pick: Unie Hlubina 45% · hit W
Vsetín0–1Líšeň II17 Oct · away
Pick: Líšeň II 64% · hit D
Líšeň II1–1Zbrojovka Brno II13 Oct · home
Pick: Líšeň II 61% · missed About this match
Uherský Brod and Líšeň II meet in 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Orelsky stadion, Uhersky Brod. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Uherský Brod win 33.5%, draw 29.0%, Líšeň II win 37.5%. The pick is Líšeň II win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.3%. Both teams to score: 54.5%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.