Uničov vs Zlín II
Match result probability Model pick: Uničov win
Uničov winPick
52.9%
Draw
24.4%
Zlín II win
22.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.9%
No44.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
How much we know
Uničov history66 matches
Zlín II history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Uničov
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.9%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Uničov are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Uničov are rated 94 Elo points higher
Elo 1,606 against 1,513. On rating alone Uničov would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.65 goals a game over 66 matches for Uničov, against 1.67 over 63 for Zlín II.
-
Uničov concede fewer
Uničov concede 1.21 a game, Zlín II 1.81.
-
Zlín II games more often go over 2.5 goals
55% of Uničov matches, against 70% for Zlín II. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Zlín II@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1606.4
ELO
1512.7
66
ELO · Matches
63
1606.4
Current Team ELO
1512.7
1512.7
Current Opponent ELO
1606.4
93.71
Current ELO Difference
-93.71
0.63
Expected score
0.37
66
History Matches
63
0.08
Residual Mean
0.02
55.94
Overperformance
51.18
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.10
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.50
1.60
Goals for per game
1.40
1.40
Goals against per game
1.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.92
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.66
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.98
Overall performance9 signals 90
66
Matches
63
1.82
PPG
1.29
51.5%
Win rate
34.9%
27.3%
Draw rate
23.8%
21.2%
Loss rate
41.3%
78.8%
Over 1.5 rate
87.3%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
69.8%
27.3%
Over 3.5 rate
41.3%
1.58
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.11
Venue performance10 signals 100
33
Matches
30
1.61
PPG
0.60
42.4%
Win rate
13.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
20.0%
24.2%
Loss rate
66.7%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
57.6%
Over 2.5 rate
73.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
43.3%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
33
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.65
Goals for per game
1.67
78.8%
Scoring rate
77.8%
57.6%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.67
Goals for per game
1.17
78.8%
Scoring rate
66.7%
69.7%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.75
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
66
History Matches
63
1.65
Goals Mean
1.67
1.35
Goals Std
1.51
78.8%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
48.5%
Scored 2+ rate
46.0%
22.7%
Scored 3+ rate
20.6%
1.67
Venue Goals Mean
1.17
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.21
Goals against per game
1.81
69.7%
Conceding rate
85.7%
1.48
Goals against per game
2.30
81.8%
Conceding rate
93.3%
1.25
Goals against per game
0.75
75.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
66
History Matches
63
1.21
Conceded Mean
1.81
1.09
Conceded Std
1.31
36.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.0%
10.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.4%
1.48
Venue Conceded Mean
2.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
30.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
30.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
30.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
66
History Matches
63
0.93
Result entropy
0.98
1.58
Goal Difference Std
2.11
6.70
Stability score
2.21
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
65
Eligible Matches
62
19
Lead Matches
19
94.7%
Lead Win Rate
68.4%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.72
17
Trailing Matches
22
41.2%
Non-loss rate
31.8%
17.6%
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
65
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.62
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
0.97
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.60
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.97
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
80.90
Rest days
83.19
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
45
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.82
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.03
18
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.89
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.63
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
2.25
PPG
1.75
75.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.83
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.25
Current Competition PPG
1.75
0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.25
6
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.28
Portability PPG Std
0.37
0.75
Portability PPG Range
0.92
64.35
Portability Score
57.51
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
66
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO93.71
PPG0.53
GF-0.02
GA-0.60
PPG0.50
PPG1.01
PPG0.40
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate16.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate11.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches3
Goals Mean-0.02
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate1.0%
Scored 2+ rate2.5%
Scored 3+ rate2.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.25
History Matches3
Conceded Mean-0.60
Conceded Std-0.21
Clean-sheet rate16.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Conceded Mean-0.82
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.07
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.53
Stability score4.49
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.35
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate26.3%
Lead Points Retention0.25
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate9.4%
Trailing Win Rate8.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean0.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.37
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.25
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.09
Portability PPG Range-0.17
Portability Score6.85
Rest days-2.29
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.83
Normal Rest History Matches13
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.79
Long Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest Points Per Match0.26
Current Team ELO93.71
Current Opponent ELO-93.71
Current ELO Difference187.4
Expected score0.26
History Matches3
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.76
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.10
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Uničov
D
Líšeň II4–4Uničov6 Nov · away
Pick: Líšeň II 50% · missed L
Uničov1–3Blansko1 Nov · home
Pick: Uničov 70% · missed W
Slovácko II1–2Uničov25 Oct · away
Pick: Slovácko II 44% · missed W
Uničov3–2Hodonín18 Oct · home
Pick: Uničov 50% · hit W
Uničov3–1Polanka nad Odrou4 Oct · home
Pick: Uničov 56% · hit Zlín II
D
Unie Hlubina2–2Zlín II31 Oct · away
Pick: Unie Hlubina 62% · missed W
Zlín II2–0Vsetín25 Oct · home
Pick: Zlín II 54% · hit L
Zbrojovka Brno II4–2Zlín II18 Oct · away
Pick: Zlín II 43% · missed W
Karviná II0–1Zlín II4 Oct · away
Pick: Karviná II 48% · missed D
Slovácko II1–1Zlín II30 Aug · away
Pick: Slovácko II 53% · missed About this match
Uničov and Zlín II meet in 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Uničov win 52.9%, draw 24.4%, Zlín II win 22.7%. The pick is Uničov win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.0%. Both teams to score: 55.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.